od Shagy1710
stř 7. lis 2012 17:59:54
stř 7. lis 2012 17:59:54
Uplne suhlasimA_Rimmer píše:Dr.Zoidberg:Ta nula je pri tom martingale ten problem (ona je vseobecne problem, tvori vlastne zisk rulety*). Kedysi som si na to robil taky prepocet v exceli, zo zvedavosti, ze ako to vychadza. Ak mi tam ta nula nebola, tak ev kazdej tvojej stavky by bola presne 0 (nic nevydelas ale aspon nebustnes), s nulou je to minus (nepamatam si uz presne kolko).
Samozrejme, tie dalsie veci, ze by si musel mat neobmedzeny BR a vysku stavky platia tiez. Zase Naco by si hral ruletu, keby si mal neobmedzeny bankroll?![]()
* - jednoducho povedane, nula tvori zisk rulety preto, ze vyhra, ktoru vyplaca hracom je nizsia ako precentualna pravdepodobnost ze nimi stavena udalost skutocne nastane (v US pouzivaju ruletu s dvoma nulami kvoli vyssim ziskom) t.j. Ak napr. stavite na farbu, dostanete 2-nasobok svojej stavky, ale sanca ze sa tak stane nie je 1 k 1 ale 18 ku 19. Z rovnakeho dovodu nemoze byt nikto dlhodobo ziskovy na tipovani na vysledky zapasov, kedze pravdepodobnost ze nastanu je nizsia ako kurz na ne vypisany.![]()
Cize vysledok je jasny, na rulete nikdy v zivote nemozete v longrune zarabat, nech by ste mali akykolvek system. Ruleta je matematicky nastavena tak, aby zivila kasino. Vyserte se na to.



Naposledy upravil(a) Shagy1710 dne ned 5. říj 2014 18:11:04, celkem upraveno 1 x.
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"Success is getting what you want; Happiness is being happy with what you have"
"Whether you think you can or think you can't, you are right."
"Give man a fried fish "and you'll feed him for a day, teach a man to fry fish and you'll feed him for a lifetime"